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RE: [Bug-gnubg] Re: Strange FIBS ratings
From: |
kvandoel |
Subject: |
RE: [Bug-gnubg] Re: Strange FIBS ratings |
Date: |
Wed, 10 Sep 2003 04:19:14 +0200 (CEST) |
Hi Albert,
Never mind, I converted the files myself.
Full results are attached for you. One file is with your analysis, other
with a fresh 0-ply analysis only. Note there is no noticable
diff. between 0ply and your 2ply estimates.
As you can see it is close to what you reported, so at least we agree:
1862 +- 23 (actual 1700).
I have no definite explanation for why it is so far off your 1700 rating,
but possibilities are:
1) The estimation is flawed; human play can't be modeled by noise.
2) You have made a recent quantum leap in playing strength
3) Luck (the variance of 23 is not reliable as estimated from the actual
variations in R over a small set of 27).
How to explain it works so precisely for myself? Maybe because I only
have been playing for a few years and have learned mostly from bots and
therefore my "style" is bottish and better modeled by noise than yours?
What is needed now is more analysis of games by players with known
ratings for validation/refutation. I am willing to do the work if I get
the data to work on.
Kees
silver.zip
Description: s
- RE: [Bug-gnubg] Re: Strange FIBS ratings, kvandoel, 2003/09/09
- RE: [Bug-gnubg] Re: Strange FIBS ratings,
kvandoel <=
- RE: [Bug-gnubg] Re: Strange FIBS ratings, Albert Silver, 2003/09/09
- RE: [Bug-gnubg] Re: Strange FIBS ratings, kvandoel, 2003/09/10
- RE: [Bug-gnubg] Re: Strange FIBS ratings, kvandoel, 2003/09/10
- [Bug-gnubg] Re: ratings formula, checker play vs. cube, kvandoel, 2003/09/11
- [Bug-gnubg] Re: ratings formula, checker play vs. cube, kvandoel, 2003/09/12
- [Bug-gnubg] Re: ratings formula, checker play vs. cube, kvandoel, 2003/09/13
- RE: [Bug-gnubg] Re: Strange FIBS ratings, kvandoel, 2003/09/10
- RE: [Bug-gnubg] Re: Strange FIBS ratings, Albert Silver, 2003/09/10
- RE: [Bug-gnubg] Re: Strange FIBS ratings, kvandoel, 2003/09/10
- RE: [Bug-gnubg] Re: Strange FIBS ratings, kvandoel, 2003/09/14