"Christian Anthon" <address@hidden>
wrote on 12/11/2007 15:17:52:
> Hi Max,
>
> yes I mean EMG. To clarify the argument:
>
> suppose you are playing a 8 point match. In the first game your are
> really unlucky in terms of EMG, but because the cube isn't turned
you
> end up loosing just three points. In the second game you are a bit
> less lucky in terms of EMG (compared to the bad luck in the first
> game), but now the cube is turned to 8 and you end up winning 8 points
> for the match. Now your EMG luck is negative for the match, but your
> match equity luck could be very positive.
>
> I suppose that you should consider your self lucky for the match,
and
> therefore prefer the match equity numbers. However, I like to have
the
> numbers the way they are to keep them comparable to the error rates.
>
> Christian.
Thanks for the explanation. For the sake of clarity, since the significant figure
is the one in MWC, I would put the EMG lucks in brackets (right now the
MWC lucks are in brackets). Swapping the two should have no impact
on menoy sessions, since for money the two are equal (equities).
Also, the label "Luck rate (total)" followed
by something like "-0.920 ( -5.335%)" is misleading: it looks
like that "( -5.335%)" is the "(total)" ...
What about this:
Luck rate, total (EMG)
+16,885% (-0,068) -13,908%
(+0,178) Luck rate, per move (EMG)
+0,241% (-1,0) -0,196%
(+2,5)
For money it would be smoething like:
Luck rate, total (EMG)
-0,068 (-0,068) +0,178
(+0,178) Luck rate, per move (EMG)
-1,0 (-1,0) +2,5
(+2,5)