[Top][All Lists]

[Date Prev][Date Next][Thread Prev][Thread Next][Date Index][Thread Index]

Re: [Bug-gnubg] Wrong luck adjusted result on Grandmaster

From: Timothy Y. Chow
Subject: Re: [Bug-gnubg] Wrong luck adjusted result on Grandmaster
Date: Wed, 7 Jan 2015 23:27:03 -0500 (EST)
User-agent: Alpine 2.11 (LFD 23 2013-08-11)

Luck-adjusted results are computed using MWC while designations such as Expert/Beginner/Awful! are computed using EMG. I suspect that the same is true of Go to bed/Go to Las Vegas. My guess is that Richard made some relatively small EMG errors at a late stage in the match where they made a big MWC difference, while his opponent made relatively large EMG errors at an early stage where they made only a small MWC difference. A similar issue may apply for the assessment of the overall luck.

As for Ian's DMP test, I believe that the luck-adjusted result should ideally be zero, but if the analysis was done on a different level from the playing level, that could cause a discrepancy. Also the average of the equities after all possible rolls should theoretically equal the current equity, but if you use 2-ply (say) to analyze the equities after all possible rolls, and analyze the current equity using 2-ply, then the former might not average out to the latter, because 2-ply isn't perfect.


reply via email to

[Prev in Thread] Current Thread [Next in Thread]