I'm trying to understand the money game stats, but clearly am having no luck, so I'm requesting help.
I played a session, albeit poorly, which I lost 10 points to 13 over 7 games. According to the analysis, I played better overall, better in checkers, and better with the cube. Despite this, and despite losing, I am told I was the luckier of the two. Highly disputable IMHO.
Error rate (total) -3.523 ( -4.811) -2.269 ( -3.939) Error rate (per decision) -
25.7 ( -0.035) -14.2 ( -0.025) Equiv. Snowie error rate -11.0 -7.1
Overall rating Casual player Intermediate Actual result +3.000 -3.000
Luck adjusted result +1.958 -1.958 Advantage (actual) in ppg +0.4286 -
0.4286 95% confidence interval (ppg) 3.1388 3.1388 Advantage (luck adjusted) in ppg +0.2797 -0.2797
95% confidence interval (ppg) 0.9709 0.9709
I usually try to find out what my effective edge was over my opponent, but I don't know what to look at here. For example, I ran this through Snowie 4, which said he played at -
10.7 and I played at -6.7, and also says I was a favorite by 0.122 points per game in this session.