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RE: [Bug-gnubg] Snowie 4 vs. GNU 0.13
From: |
Ian Shaw |
Subject: |
RE: [Bug-gnubg] Snowie 4 vs. GNU 0.13 |
Date: |
Mon, 9 Jun 2003 16:31:53 +0100 |
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Joern Thyssen [mailto:address@hidden
> Sent: 09 June 2003 16:16
> To: Ian Shaw
> Cc: Rod Roark; GnuBG List
> Subject: Re: [Bug-gnubg] Snowie 4 vs. GNU 0.13
>
[snip]
>
> Aaah, it seems I'm missing a factor of sqrt(n) in my formulae.
>
> It should be
>
> 0.56 +/- 0.98/sqrt(n)
>
> instead.
>
> That is,
>
> 0.56 +/- 0.1
>
> The luck adjusted result is
>
> 0.500 +/- 0.014
>
> Jørn
>
Putting it in English, is the following a reasonable interpretation?
Based on the results of 100 games, we are 95% confident that GnuBg can expect
to win between 46% and 56% of matches against Snowie 4. However, luck is still
playing a big part in the results, and if we account for the luck in those 100
matches, we are 95% confident that GnuBg will win between 48.6% and 51.4% of
matches.
--Ian
- RE: [Bug-gnubg] Snowie 4 vs. GNU 0.13, (continued)
- RE: [Bug-gnubg] Snowie 4 vs. GNU 0.13, Albert Silver, 2003/06/09
- Re: [Bug-gnubg] Snowie 4 vs. GNU 0.13, Joern Thyssen, 2003/06/09
- RE: [Bug-gnubg] Snowie 4 vs. GNU 0.13, Albert Silver, 2003/06/09
- Re: [Bug-gnubg] Snowie 4 vs. GNU 0.13, Joern Thyssen, 2003/06/09
- Re: [Bug-gnubg] Snowie 4 vs. GNU 0.13, Joseph Heled, 2003/06/09
- RE: [Bug-gnubg] Snowie 4 vs. GNU 0.13, Albert Silver, 2003/06/09
RE: [Bug-gnubg] Snowie 4 vs. GNU 0.13, Ian Shaw, 2003/06/09
RE: [Bug-gnubg] Snowie 4 vs. GNU 0.13, Ian Shaw, 2003/06/09
RE: [Bug-gnubg] Snowie 4 vs. GNU 0.13,
Ian Shaw <=
RE: [Bug-gnubg] Snowie 4 vs. GNU 0.13, Joseph Heled, 2003/06/10
RE: [Bug-gnubg] Snowie 4 vs. GNU 0.13, Albert Silver, 2003/06/15