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Re: Epidemiological Modelling
From: |
Pietro Terna |
Subject: |
Re: Epidemiological Modelling |
Date: |
Mon, 16 Sep 2002 12:23:30 +0200 |
Dear Andy,
look at http://jasss.soc.surrey.ac.uk/5/3/5.html
All the best, Pietro
At 10.56 16/09/2002 +0100, you wrote:
Is SWARM suitable for epidemiological modelling?,
I am a researcher working on a DFID funded project at the London School of
Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. I am currently selecting the software to
develop a discrete event micro-simulation model and would greatly
appreciate your advice on the suitability of SWARM. The model will
simulate the life histories of Bangladeshi children and sensitivity
analysis should then determine the benefit of vaccination.
We have proposed a 'time-to-event' approach whereby age distributions and
random numbers are used to determine the next event for a Susceptible
individual e.g. 1st Dose, Infection, Unrelated Death. The age
distributions need to be specific to the individual e.g. Male, Urban, Aged
3.2, Immunity Status = 0 etc. Outcomes from events are selected via
random numbers and transition probabilities, again dependent on the
attributes of the individual. A central calendar then organises the
events, working through them and allocating new ones in time order.
The parameters are % Vaccine Coverage, % Vaccine Efficacy and Dose
Schedule (time of 1st, 2nd & 3rd dose).
Do you think SWARM would be appropriate? Do you have any other software
suggestions if not?
Many thanks,
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Andy Clark
Health Services Research Unit
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
http://www.lshtm.ac.uk/location/
Tel: +44 (0) 20 7323 9043
Fax: +44 (0) 20 7580 8183
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==================================
Swarm-Modelling is for discussion of Simulation and Modelling techniques
esp. using Swarm. For list administration needs (esp. [un]subscribing),
please send a message to <address@hidden> with "help" in the
body of the message.
==================================